The 4 things that actually move الذهب
1. Real yields
الذهب pays no interest. متى real yields (10Y Treasury minus inflation expectations) rise, الذهب gets relatively المزيد expensive to hold — الذهب falls. متى real yields fall negative, الذهب rallies.
2. USD strength
الذهب is priced in USD globally. A weaker dollar makes الذهب cheaper for non-USD buyers, increasing demand. Watch DXY (dollar index) inversely against الذهب.
3. Geopolitical risk
Wars, sanctions, election risk — when uncertainty rises, الذهب catches a bid as a hedge. Sharp spike events (Russia 2022, Israel 2023, Iran 2024) all produced multi-week rallies.
4. Central bank flows
Since 2022, central banks (China, Russia, India, Turkey) have been net buyers of الذهب to diversify reserves away من USD. Quarterly WGC reports show the pace.
التداول الذهب smartly
الذهب spreads vary wildly by broker — some quote 30c, some 80c. ShaFX has a dedicated XAUUSD calculator (/tools/xauusd-calculator) and broker comparison filtered for الذهب-friendly الحسابات.